{"id":19831,"date":"2026-09-21T12:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T18:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/news-and-content\/miranda-intelligence\/market-chatter\/mexico-market-chatter-sep-4-sep-11-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T21:44:34","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T03:44:34","slug":"mexico-market-chatter-sep-4-sep-11-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/news-and-content\/miranda-intelligence\/market-chatter\/mexico-market-chatter-sep-4-sep-11-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Mexico Market Chatter \u2013 Sep. 4 \u2013 Sep. 11, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Markets<\/strong><\/h3>

En\u00a0S&P \/ BMV IPC<\/strong>\u00a0was down 1.5% over the last week to close at 63,924.77 pts., accumulating 3 weeks in the red zone, as global risk aversion continued due to the Middle East war. Meanwhile, the Mexican peso lost 0.5% to MXN$16.97\/USD; the yield of the 10-year M-Bono was up 18 bps to 9.46%.<\/p>

En\u00a0S&P \/ BMV IPC’s<\/strong>\u00a0top weekly gainers were: CUERVO * (+1.8%), AC * (+1.7%), and BBAJIO O (+1.6%). On the other hand, the main weekly losers were: TLEVISA CPO (-10.4%), GCC * (-4.7%) and GRUMA B (-4.0%).<\/p>

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Public Companies<\/strong><\/h3>

Grupo M\u00e9xico completed the merger of its power-generation assets with Saavi Energ\u00eda,<\/strong>\u00a0forming one of Mexico\u2019s largest private electricity generators alongside BlackRock subsidiary Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP). Grupo M\u00e9xico will own 70% of the new company and GIP 30%. The combined platform comprises 14 power plants with 4,510 MW of installed capacity and a development pipeline of approximately 5,000 MW.<\/p>

Nu expects to accelerate customer growth in Mexico after obtaining its banking license,<\/strong>\u00a0according to David V\u00e9lez, founder and CEO of the Brazilian financial group. Nu currently has more than 30 million customers in Mexico, versus 4 million three years ago, and expects the banking license to become an important growth catalyst. V\u00e9lez said Nu has a 7% market share in Brazil and less than 1% in Mexico. Separately, Nu began operations in the US and launched Nu Global, an account designed to move dollar- and euro-denominated digital balances across 35 countries.<\/p>

BBVA appointed Raimundo Sala as CEO of Openpay for Latin America<\/strong>\u00a0to accelerate the platform\u2019s omnichannel strategy across physical and digital payments and expand its AI capabilities. Openpay expects to exceed 43,000 points of contact in Mexico by the end of 2027.<\/p>

Mercado Libre issued US$1.0 billion of 5.850% senior unsecured notes due 2036, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes and strengthen liquidity.\u00a0<\/strong>The notes were rated BBB by S&P Global Ratings and BBB- by Fitch Ratings, both investment grade. Mercado Pago, Mercado Libre\u2019s financial-services subsidiary, said its application for a Mexican banking license has reached approximately the midpoint of the authorization process, which would allow it to broaden its financial offering, including payroll portability. Mercado Pago said 40% of its users obtained their first personal loan through its platform, more than 20 million people have access to a credit line and 80% of its business lending is directed to small companies. Mercado Libre also said its platform is now the primary sales channel for 51% of the SMEs that sell through its marketplace in Mexico.<\/p>

Femsa plans to invest MXN$3.8 billion over the next four years to expand Tiendas Bara in Jalisco, targeting more than 1,000 stores in the state within five years.\u00a0<\/strong>The company inaugurated a distribution center in Tlajomulco de Z\u00fa\u00f1iga after investing MXN$240 million. The facility covers more than 10,000 square meters and can serve up to 400 stores. The expansion is expected to create approximately 6,000 jobs across stores and distribution centers in Jalisco.<\/p>

Workers represented by the International Brotherhood of Teamsters authorized a strike at Bimbo Bakeries USA facilities in New England.<\/strong>\u00a0The union alleged that Grupo Bimbo\u2019s US subsidiary had not offered acceptable terms for a new collective-bargaining agreement. In related news,\u00a0Grupo Bimbo\u2019s US subsidiary Bimbo Bakeries reported a personal-data breach<\/strong>\u00a0linked to a vulnerability in Oracle\u2019s E-Business Suite software. The incident affected 3,982 people in Texas, while more than 300 were reportedly affected in Massachusetts.<\/p>

The US Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the antitrust waiting period for the proposed merger between Volaris and Viva Aerobus.<\/strong>\u00a0The transaction would create Grupo M\u00e1s Vuelos, which would serve at least 60 million passengers annually. Separately,\u00a0Volaris announced three new routes from Guadalajara to Raleigh-Durham, Boston and Nashville, with operations scheduled to begin October 15th.<\/strong>\u00a0The airline also moved to October 1st the launch of four previously announced routes: Quer\u00e9taro-Las Vegas, Puebla-Chicago O\u2019Hare, Guadalajara-Washington Dulles and Guadalajara-Atlanta. The additional routes will expand Volaris\u2019 U.S. network to 28 destinations. For its part,\u00a0Vivaerobus total passenger traffic was down 1.2% YoY to 2.662 million in August, down 1.2% YoY,<\/strong>\u00a0reflecting a 1.6% decrease in domestic passengers and 2.3% growth in international passengers. RPMs fell 3.0% YoY, as ASMs contracted 3.5% and load factor improved 30 bps to 89.8%.<\/p>

Liverpool signed a strategic alliance with Primark to introduce the international fashion retailer in Mexico under a franchise model.<\/strong>\u00a0Primark, founded in Ireland in 1969, operates more than 500 stores across 19 markets.<\/p>

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pac\u00edfico\u2019s total passenger traffic increased by 0.5% YoY in August,<\/strong>\u00a0supported by a 2.6% growth across its 12 Mexican airports, while Kingston rose by 2.8% and Montego Bay contracted by 23.0%.\u00a0GAP secured MXN$8.0 billion in credit facilities from Santander, BBVA, HSBC, J.P. Morgan and Scotiabank.<\/strong>\u00a0The facilities have 6-12 month maturities, with some offering six-month extensions, and carry a floating rate of Funding TIIE plus a 45 bps weighted-average spread. The company will use MXN$4.26 billion to repay the GAP22L and GAP21-V bonds maturing in September and October 2026, respectively, while the remaining MXN$3.74 billion will be to fund capex under the Mexican airports\u2019 Master Development Program.<\/p>

Grupo Aeroportuario de Sureste\u2019s total passenger traffic was down 2.1% YoY to 5.9 million in August,\u00a0<\/strong>mainly as a result of a 4.0% decline in Mexico and a 5.1% reduction in Puerto Rico which were partially offset by a 4.0% increase in Colombia.<\/p>

Vesta fully repaid US$105 million of outstanding principal under two private financings<\/strong>\u00a0including US$60m of 5.31% Series B senior notes due September 22nd<\/sup>, 2027, and US$45m of 5.85% Tranche B term loans due May 31st<\/sup>, 2028. Vesta also paid accrued interest and applicable make-whole amounts, fully terminating both agreements.<\/p>

Becle will redesign its commercial strategy in the U.S. and Canada,<\/strong>\u00a0according to Axis Negocios. The company will keep 2026 list prices unchanged and focus on accelerating inventory turnover rather than using discounts, as the North American spirits market faces weaker demand and excess distributor inventories. Becle is also optimizing its portfolio, including the sale of energy-drink brand Boost, while targeting further growth in the ready-to-drink (RTD) segment in Mexico and the U.S.<\/p>

Aerom\u00e9xico will launch two new nonstop routes to Europe in 2027 as part of its international expansion strategy.<\/strong>\u00a0Mexico City\u2013Milan will begin on March 28ava<\/sup>\u00a0with four weekly flights, while Guadalajara\u2013Paris will start on April 13ava<\/sup>\u00a0with three weekly flights. With the additions, Aerom\u00e9xico expects to operate its largest-ever European network in summer 2027, serving seven destinations through 11 routes and offering more than 75 weekly flights in each direction. In related news,\u00a0Grupo AeroM\u00e9xico and Banco Compartamos, Gentera\u2019s banking subsidiary, signed an agreement to promote the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel, or SAF.<\/strong><\/p>

Bolsa\u2019s short-term debt listings increased 10.4% YoY to MXN$27.6 billion in August,<\/strong>\u00a0while medium- and long-term debt listings rose 70.8% YoY to MXN$23.4 billion. Total equities\u2019 average daily value traded was down 0.9% YoY to MXN$15.1 billion, which included a 10.6% YoY decline in domestic equities and an 11.4% increase in foreign equities.<\/p>

La Comer opened Fresko Valle Cumbres in the Monterrey metropolitan area, increasing its presence in Nuevo Le\u00f3n to four stores, which includes three Fresko locations and one City Market.<\/strong>\u00a0Fresko Valle Cumbres has 8,222 square meters of sales floor and offers approximately 50,000 products. The opening increased La Comer\u2019s nationwide footprint to 96 stores and its workforce to 19,010 employees.<\/p>

Norte 19 will begin operating the 167-room Aloft by Marriott Playa del Carmen on September 15th, adding the Aloft brand to its portfolio.<\/strong>\u00a0The hotel will operate under a management agreement with no incremental capital investment from Norte 19.<\/p>

Vista Energy estimated 66.8 MMboe of proved (P1) reserves attributable to its interests in the Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro blocks in Argentina\u2019s Vaca Muerta,<\/strong>\u00a0acquired in May 2026. Vista holds a 25.1% interest in Bandurria Sur, which produced 19.1 Mboe\/d in June, and a 35% interest in Bajo del Toro, which produced 1.8 Mboe\/d. The company reported proforma total net P1 reserves of 654.9 MMboe as of year-end 2025, assuming the acquisition had been completed by that date.<\/p>

On September 4ava<\/sup>,\u00a0Fibra Storage acquired a property located on Avenida Venustiano Carranza in downtown Monterrey.<\/strong>\u00a0The acquisition price was MXN$67 million, including closing costs.<\/p>

Other Companies<\/strong><\/h3>

Moody\u2019s Local M\u00e9xico affirmed Pemex\u2019s \u2018AAA.mx\u2019 local-scale rating with stable outlook, reflecting continued federal government support for liquidity, short-term liabilities and long-term projects.\u00a0<\/strong>Moody\u2019s expects Pemex to receive an additional MXN$163 billion in federal capital contributions during 2H26, in line with the amount approved in the 2026 federal budget. The agency said new capital-raising structures include an explicit but contingent federal government guarantee and provide a more formal long-term financing mechanism.\u00a0Meanwhile, Pemex\u2019s unionized workers will receive a direct 5.5% salary increase for the 2026\u20132027 period, the largest adjustment in 24 years.\u00a0<\/strong>The agreement comprised a 4.0% increase in base pay and a 1.5% adjustment to the salary schedule. An additional 2.0% increase in benefits brought the total compensation adjustment to 7.5%.<\/p>

The auction process of Altos Hornos de M\u00e9xico\u2019s (Ahmsa) and its subsidiary Minera del Norte\u2019s (Minosa) assets will begin on September 20ava<\/sup><\/strong>, with the formal auction scheduled for September 25ava<\/sup>. Such assets have a reference value of approximately US$1.33 billion.<\/p>

The Home Depot will invest nearly MXN$500 million to open a store in Lerma, Estado de M\u00e9xico,<\/strong>\u00a0creating approximately 100 direct jobs and increasing its footprint in the state to 17 locations. The project forms part of the company\u2019s MXN$30 billion investment program in Mexico through 2028. The Home Depot also opened a dark store in Lerma and plans a 160,000-square-meter distribution center in Estado de M\u00e9xico. The company operates 144 stores nationwide and has invested MXN$52 billion in Mexico since entering the market 25 years ago.<\/p>

Volkswagen\u2019s supervisory board unanimously approved a global restructuring plan that could eliminate 50,000 positions.<\/strong>\u00a0The plan comprises 12 measures through 2030, including a 50% reduction in the product portfolio and adjustments to the production network. Volkswagen targets annual production of nine million vehicles across all brands. The company did not disclose the implementation timetable or the allocation of workforce reductions across brands and regions; therefore, the impact on its Mexican operations remains uncertain. Separately, Volkswagen de M\u00e9xico workers rejected the contractual-review agreement negotiated between the company and the the independent labor union representing workers at Volkswagen\u2019s Puebla plant (SITIAVW). SITIAVW said it would seek to reopen negotiations with Volkswagen over salaries and contractual benefits. The strike deadline at the Puebla plant remains September 17 th.<\/p>

Kapital Grupo Financiero raised US$125 million in equity and debt at a US$1.3 billion valuation,<\/strong>\u00a0with proceeds earmarked for its artificial-intelligence platform and domestic and international expansion. Tru Arrow Partners led the equity financing, while Fasanara Capital provided debt financing for the group\u2019s lending activities. Cervin Ventures Management, Niya Partners KP and Overlook Capital also participated in the equity round. Kapital Grupo Financiero serves more than 350,000 customers across Mexico, Latin America, the United States and Europe. The group reported approximately US$50 million of net income in 1H26, while its loan portfolio increased 220% YoY and deposits rose 234% YoY.<\/p>

Bepensa Bebidas opened the Planta Centenario Valladolid in Yucat\u00e1n after an investment of more than MXN$1.2 billion.<\/strong>\u00a0The new facility will increase the company\u2019s production capacity for 100% returnable carbonated beverages by more than 30% and can supply approximately 25% of current returnable-product demand in the Yucat\u00e1n Peninsula. The investment forms part of the Industria Mexicana de Coca-Cola\u2019s previously announced US$6.0 billion investment program in Mexico.<\/p>

Nissan\u2019s vehicle production in Mexico declined 25.1% YoY during January-August<\/strong>\u00a0as the automaker advanced its global restructuring and consolidated manufacturing operations. Nissan transferred production of the NP300\/Frontier to its Aguascalientes complex after a US$96 million investment announced in April. The shift incorporates production previously assigned to CIVAC in Morelos and C\u00f3rdoba in Argentina, both of which ceased operations. Nissan also faces weaker exports to the U.S. and increased competition from Chinese brands in the Mexican market.<\/p>

Mastercard appointed Sidney Massunaga as country manager for Mexico.<\/strong>\u00a0Massunaga has more than 20 years of experience in financial services and strategic consulting and previously held leadership positions at HSBC in Brazil and Hong Kong across consumer banking and wealth management.<\/p>

Banco Sabadell M\u00e9xico increased financing by 30% over the last 12 months.<\/strong>\u00a0The Spanish bank said the expansion strengthened its financing activity with developers and companies in the real-estate sector. The institution continues to focus its Mexican business on corporate financing and advisory services.<\/p>

Sport City will renovate its Eureka club in Mexico City as part of a MXN$1.5 billion investment plan over the next five years.<\/strong>\u00a0The plan includes investments in equipment, technology, infrastructure and expansion, with Life Fitness serving as a strategic partner in the modernization program. Sport City also plans to upgrade additional clubs during 2026 as it continues to improve operating efficiency following its 2020\u20132024 business transformation.<\/p>

DiDi M\u00e9xico is prioritizing the consolidation of its Sofipo rather than pursuing a banking license.<\/strong>\u00a0The strategy differs from competitors including Mercado Pago that are pursuing banking licenses. DiDi entered the regulated segment after acquiring JP Sofiexpress.<\/p>

Codere Online signed a multi-year agreement with the NFL to become its official betting partner in Mexico.\u00a0<\/strong>The agreement also designates Codere as an official partner for Super Bowl LXI and the NFL\u2019s 2026 regular-season game in Mexico. The partnership includes hospitality programs, VIP experiences, activations in Mexico and opportunities linked to official NFL products.<\/p>

Tala, a Mexican fintech specialized in digital lending, appointed Liliana Herrera as regional director for Latin America to lead its regional strategy and expansion of the Credit-as-a-Service model.<\/strong>\u00a0Herrera previously served as Tala\u2019s director of public affairs. Tala originates more than 500,000 loans per month in Mexico and has disbursed approximately MXN$64.24 billion cumulatively in the country.<\/p>

Economy<\/strong><\/h3>

Hacienda released the 2027 Economic Package, targeting a fiscal deficit (RFSP) of 3.9% of GDP in 2027, down from 4.1% estimated for 2026, but above the 3.5% outlined in the Pre-Criterios, implying a slower fiscal consolidation than originally expected.\u00a0<\/strong>Budgetary revenues will increase 3.9% YoY in real terms to MXN$9.157 trillion, representing 23.2% of GDP, including MXN$6.264 trillion in tax revenues, up 5.9% YoY in real terms and equivalent to 15.9% of GDP. Budgetary expenditures will increase 1.1% YoY in real terms to MXN$10.6 trillion, representing 26.7% of GDP. Transfers to Pemex will decline 70.0% YoY to MXN$81.1 billion. Total public debt (SHRFSP) would increase to 55% of GDP by YE27. For 2027, the government projects that 14 priority social programs will account for nearly MXN$1 trillion, representing 9.3% of the total projected budget for the coming year. Hacienda expects a real GDP growth of 2.0% (within a 1.5\u20132.5% range), slightly above the 1.8% consensus in the latest Citi Mexico Expectations Survey, supported by domestic demand and the external sector. Private consumption should remain a key growth driver, underpinned by higher household income, job creation, real wage growth and the social protection network. YE27 inflation is seen at 3.0%, below the 3.80% consensus in the latest Citi Mexico Expectations Survey, while the FX rate is estimated at MXN$18.0\/US$, versus the survey\u2019s MXN$18.07\/US$ forecast. The 28-day Cetes rate is expected at 6.0% at YE27. The macro framework assumes an average Mexican crude oil price of US$61.8\/bbl and crude production of 1.801 million bpd. The federal government requested authorization for MXN$1.7 trillion in domestic net borrowing for 2027, 7.5% below the amount requested for 2026, and up to US$13.5 billion in external net borrowing. Hacienda also established mechanisms to prevent abuses in tax deductions and fiscal-loss carryforwards by companies with annual revenues above MXN$50 million.<\/p>

Finance Minister \u00c9dgar Amador said the Federal Government\u2019s 2027 revenue and expenditure projections and stronger tax-collection efforts aim to preserve confidence in public finances and Mexico\u2019s debt-servicing capacity,<\/strong>\u00a0which he described as critical for the country\u2019s sovereign credit rating. Mexico is rated investment grade by all eight rating agencies that evaluate the sovereign, and Amador said the government\u2019s objective is to preserve and improve the country\u2019s credit standing. Amador said fiscal consolidation will proceed more slowly than originally expected to limit the impact on economic activity and employment.<\/p>

Headline inflation increased 0.20% MoM in August, below the 0.25% forecast in the latest Citi Mexico Expectations Survey.\u00a0<\/strong>Core inflation rose 0.16% MoM, below Citi\u2019s 0.20% forecast, as services prices increased 0.21% and merchandise prices rose 0.11%. Non-core inflation advanced 0.36% MoM, driven by a 0.78% increase in agricultural prices with fruit and vegetables up 1.12%. Annual headline inflation stood at 3.26%, while annual core inflation reached 3.88%. INEGI released the August INPC on September 9th.<\/p>

Private-sector employers added 38,319 formal jobs in August, representing a 76.2% increase against the previous year, making it the second-weakest August result of the past seven years, according to IMSS.<\/strong>\u00a0Formal employment increased by 343,556 positions, or 1.5% YoY, over the last 12 months, bringing total formal employment to 22.8 million at the end of August.<\/p>

Industrial Activity increased 0.5% MoM on a seasonally adjusted basis,<\/strong>\u00a0according to INEGI. It was driven by construction (+0.9%) and manufacturing (+0.7%), while utilities were unchanged and mining declined 1.8%. Industrial Activity increased 2.7% YoY based on original data, supported by construction (+7.3%), manufacturing (+1.6%), mining (+1.6%) and utilities (+0.6%).<\/p>

Light-vehicle sales increased 2.2% YoY to 129,362 units in August. Production declined 1.4% to 344,940 units, while exports rose 1.3% to 300,475 units.<\/strong><\/p>

The banking system\u2019s total loan portfolio increased 8.0% YoY in July<\/strong>, driven by 10.9% growth in consumer loans and 8.6% in corporate loans, while government and housing loans each rose 5.2% and lending to financial institutions increased 1.5%, according to CNBV data. The NPL ratio increased to 2.31%, from 2.13% in July 2025, while the coverage ratio declined to 145.3%, from 151.3%. Net profits reached MXN$174.2 billion, down 2.4% YoY. ROE fell to 16.30%, from 17.51% a year earlier, while ROA decreased to 1.90% from 1.97%. The system\u2019s capitalization ratio stood at 20.56%.<\/p>

Economists continue to expect Banco de M\u00e9xico to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 6.50% for both 2026 and 2027, according to the latest Citi Mexico Expectations Survey.\u00a0<\/strong>The 2026 GDP growth estimate increased to 1.3%, from 1.2%, while the 2027 forecast held at 1.8%. Headline and core inflation projections remained at 4.00% for YE26 and 3.80% for YE27. The median USDMXN estimate declined to 17.50, from 17.68, for YE26 and to 18.07, from 18.24 for YE27.<\/p>

USMCA.<\/strong>\u00a0Mexico will seek reductions in US tariffs on automobiles and steel imposed under Section 232 before broader discussions on economic security and restrictions on Chinese participation in North American supply chains, according to Mexican Ambassador to the U.S. Roberto Lazzeri. Mexico and the U.S. could return to the previous bilateral framework, which included negotiations for a tariff-rate quota on steel. China\u2019s subsidies and other incentives will be a key issue in upcoming negotiations.<\/p>

Subasta CETES:<\/strong>\u00a028-day CETES -24 bps at 6.25%; 91-day CETES +2 bps to 6.56%; 175-day CETES +9 bps to 6.78% and 693-day CETES +7 bps to 7.94%.<\/p>

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\u00a0Descargar PDF: Mexican Market Chatter September 4th \u2013 September 11th \u2013 ENG<\/a> Mexican Market Chatter September 4th \u2013 September 11th \u2013 ESP<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The\u00a0S&P \/ BMV IPC\u00a0was down 1.5% over the last week to close at 63,924.77 pts., accumulating 3 weeks in the red zone, as global risk aversion continued due<\/p>","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":18193,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[76],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-chatter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19831","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19831"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19831\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19837,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19831\/revisions\/19837"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/miranda-partners.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}